The Rising Tide Of The Holidays

Bill Harris wrote about the October NPD numbers the other day, and here’s how they looked for the major consoles:
Wii – 519,000
Xbox 360 – 366,000
PlayStation 2 – 184,000
PlayStation 3 – 121,000
Big numbers, and not many surprises. The Wii is still way out in front, the 360 did just about double the PS2′s numbers, and the PS3 is limping along. But the holiday sales boost is just around the corner and it’s a rising tide that lifts all boats, and lifts them an awful lot.
Bill crunches the numbers from the past console lines, puts together the trends, and notes that without any price cut/new model changes to the numbers (remember the 40GB PS3 came in in November), the November numbers should trend to 2.5 times October’s numbers and the December numbers should go to 5 times the October numbers. What does that mean in raw numbers?
Visualizing that we have:
Wii – Nov: 1,250k – Dec: 2,595k.
360 – Nov: 915k – Dec: 1,830k.
PS3 – Nov: 302k – Dec: 605k.
That’s 2.6 million Wii’s in December folks and 1.8 million 360′s in December, million with an M. That’s big numbers. Can Nintendo make that many? Not at 1.8 million a month, but something tells me they’ll be ok. Will the new 40GB PS3 make any difference?
Via DubiousQuality and Joystiq












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